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Nifty and Bank Nifty Analysis for 15th June 2020

Bank Nifty and Nifty started the session with a huge gap down on the back of unfavourable global cues. But bulls showed their mettle on the lower levels and took the gap down opportunity for the buying, which pulled the index to the higher levels. Due to this buying market indices showed enormous recovery.

Let’s check the data and do the analysis for Bank Nifty and Nifty for 15th June 2020 based on Open Interest, Change in OI, PCR, Max pain and Trend Cycles.
Bank Nifty Option Front
Bank Nifty has given closing at 20654.55 on spot on 12th June 2020. On the options front, maximum Put open interest was at 19,000 followed by 19,500 levels, while maximum Call OI was at 22,000 followed by 21,000 levels. The OI positions are scattered at various strike rates, indicates the volatility can remain in the market. A good call addition has been seen around the ATM strike.

Trading Range Of Bank Nifty
Now time to find out the trading range of the bank nifty. Trading Range is a general range between the highest call strike and highest put strike. To find the range, we need to look for the highest call OI Row and Highest Put OI Row on the option chain of the Bank Nifty. Trading range seems to be 19000 to 22000.

1. Highest Call at 22,000. 
2. Highest Put at 19,000. 
3. Pivot Level at 20,500.


Highest call acts as the highest resistance and highest put acts as the highest support for the Nifty and bank nifty. Pivot level is the level that bulls and bears don’t want to let it go easily. Tug of the war goes around the pivot level between bulls and bears generally.

Trading Range Of Nifty
Nifty has given closing at 9972.9 at spot on 12th June, 2020. The maximum Call open interest stood at 10,000 and then 10,500 levels while maximum Put OI was at 9,500 and then 9,000 levels. Significant call writing was seen at 10,100 followed by 10,000 levels, whereas a good addition of the put has been seen at 9900. Options data indicated an immediate trading range between 9700 and 10,100 levels.

1.  Highest Call at 10500. 
2.  Highest Put at 9,500
3. Pivot Level at 9,900.

India Vix
India VIX moved up 3.91 per cent to 30.82 level. A further rise in the volatility index may result in a roller-coaster move for the market. However, the volatility index is still ruling at lower levels, thus not indicating any major fall in the near term. It is sustaining above the maximum on Box Plot into outlier data on the daily scale and thus volatile swings may continue in the coming days. If you wonder what Box Plot is and how it works, you can check here details.
Derivative Data

Symbol
Pre. Max Pain
PCR (OI)
Bank Nifty
20500
20700
0.96
Nifty
9900
10000
1.47
Remarks








Trend Cycles (EOD)
 
Bank Nifty Trend Cycles

Nifty Trend Cycles

Conclusion


As long a Nifty is below 10k and bank nifty is below 21k, they are bearish. On OI call writers still looks strong. However; put writers also don’t want to lose their ground so we will see a strong fight between bulls and bears. Bank Nifty is showing strength on Trend Cycles whereas Nifty shows weak cycles.
Open Interest Images are generated by the Telegram Bot: OIinAction. You can also join it and can generate OI images for free.
Disclaimer: The analysis has been prepared for informational and educational purposes only. It is not and should not be regarded as investment advice or as a recommendation regarding any particular security or course of action.
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Nifty and Bank Nifty Analysis for 15th June 2020 Reviewed by Kumar Chandan on June 12, 2020 Rating: 5

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